Fed Net Liquidity

Tracks the flow of capital available to the financial system.

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Overview

Measures the effective liquidity provided by the Federal Reserve, adjusting for the Treasury General Account and Reverse Repo facilities.

How It Works

Net Liquidity = Fed Balance Sheet - RRP - TGA. This formula approximates the actual reserves available to banks and markets.

How to Interpret

Bullish Signal

Rising net liquidity often correlates with asset price support.

Neutral Signal

Stable liquidity implies neutral monetary impact on asset prices.

Bearish Signal

Contracting liquidity can act as a headwind for risk assets.

Historical Context

The 2020-2021 market expansion tracked closely with unprecedented liquidity injections, while 2022's correction mirrored liquidity withdrawal.

Data Information

Data Source
Federal Reserve H.4.1 Release
Update Frequency
Weekly

Limitations

  • Correlation is not causation; strictly a monetary condition metric
  • Market sentiment can override liquidity conditions in the short term

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